Sunday, March 28, 2010
Jim Rogers on Oil, Gold and the Biggest US Bubble
"All governments around the world are debasing their currencies," he declared.
"There may come a time when we all have to have all of our money in real assets."
"I certainly own gold," he said. But he pointed out the precious metal's "extremely strong" moves since 2009: "Anything that goes up that far that fast should consolidate and rest."
"I like to buy what's cheapest. Silver is cheaper than gold, on a historical basis; natural gas is cheaper than oil."
"We see more and more speculation in oil and gold. And in these times, it's usually best to step back and let others speculate."
Rogers reiterated his take on the "two biggest bubbles in the world" right now — US Treasurys and Chinese real estate:
"There's no question that the United States government's long bond is a bubble."
"In particular, Hong Kong real estate is nuts," he added.
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Oil reserves 'exaggerated by one third'
By Rowena Mason, City Reporter (Energy)
the Daily Telegraph
The world's oil reserves have been exaggerated by up to a third, according to Sir David King, the Government's [UK] former chief scientist, who has warned of shortages and price spikes within years.
The scientist and researchers from Oxford University argue that official figures are inflated because member countries of the oil cartel, OPEC, over-reported reserves in the 1980s when competing for global market share.
Their new research argues that estimates of conventional reserves should be downgraded from 1,150bn to 1,350bn barrels to between 850bn and 900bn barrels and claims that demand may outstrip supply as early as 2014. The researchers claim it is an open secret that OPEC is likely to have inflated its reserves, but that the International Energy Agency (IEA), BP, the Energy Information Administration and World Oil do not take this into account in their statistics.
"The IEA functions through fees that are paid into it by member companies and has to keep its clients happy," he said. "We're not operating under that basis. This is objective analysis. We're not sitting on any oil fields. It's critically important that reserves have been overstated, and if you take this into account, we're talking supply not meeting demand in 2014-2015."
The concept of "peak oil" has gained traction in recent years, although energy companies such as BP and Shell insist that production will be able to keep pace with growing Asian energy needs.
Sir David said he was "very concerned" that Western governments were not taking the concept of "peak oil" – where demand outstrips production – seriously enough, while China is throwing all its efforts into grabbing as many energy resources as possible.
Click here to read more
the Daily Telegraph
The world's oil reserves have been exaggerated by up to a third, according to Sir David King, the Government's [UK] former chief scientist, who has warned of shortages and price spikes within years.
The scientist and researchers from Oxford University argue that official figures are inflated because member countries of the oil cartel, OPEC, over-reported reserves in the 1980s when competing for global market share.
Their new research argues that estimates of conventional reserves should be downgraded from 1,150bn to 1,350bn barrels to between 850bn and 900bn barrels and claims that demand may outstrip supply as early as 2014. The researchers claim it is an open secret that OPEC is likely to have inflated its reserves, but that the International Energy Agency (IEA), BP, the Energy Information Administration and World Oil do not take this into account in their statistics.
"The IEA functions through fees that are paid into it by member companies and has to keep its clients happy," he said. "We're not operating under that basis. This is objective analysis. We're not sitting on any oil fields. It's critically important that reserves have been overstated, and if you take this into account, we're talking supply not meeting demand in 2014-2015."
The concept of "peak oil" has gained traction in recent years, although energy companies such as BP and Shell insist that production will be able to keep pace with growing Asian energy needs.
Sir David said he was "very concerned" that Western governments were not taking the concept of "peak oil" – where demand outstrips production – seriously enough, while China is throwing all its efforts into grabbing as many energy resources as possible.
Click here to read more
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
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